Dashboard

Yield and portfolio information to help public funds investment officials manage portfolios, monitor markets and benchmark portfolio performance of local government investment pools (LGIPs) and short term portfolios.

Money Market Yields

Cash and Futures Markets Now Aligned

Around Firmer Monetary Policy

High oil prices, the Iran war, a new Federal Reserve chair, signs that the U.S. economy is expanding at a moderate pace, a strong stock market. . . . Lots of incoming in the past 60 days have aligned short-term markets around an outlook for firmer monetary policy.  Investors no longer see easing in the cards.  Six-month and one-year futures contracts have backed up significantly, and two-year Treasury rates have flirted with four percent in the past several weeks. 

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Insights

Sometimes No News Is News

The numbers are staggering. Last year Treasury issued $30.5 trillion of securities to fund the national debt. That’s nearly $600 billion a week. This year, through April issuance was $10.8 trillion, 10% ahead of the 2025 pace. Most of this is to refund/rollover existing debt but some is for new debt that will be required […]

Beyond the Fed: Why This Week’s Events May Be Less important than You Think

  I’m guilty of having spent a good deal of time over the last two weeks on the eye-catching news on interest rates:  the Senate hearing on whether to  confirm Kevin Wash as the next chair of the Federal Reserve, the move by the Department of Justice to end a criminal probe of Jerome Powell, […]

Kevin Warsh: Behind the Senate Testimony of the Federal Reserve Nominee

Beyond the sound bites from this week’s Senate Banking Committee hearing on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to chair the Federal Reserve are three issues that are much more important for the markets and economy than whether President Trump or his political adversaries “win” or “lose” this latest contest of political will. They are shrouded […]

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